All that stood between England and victory at the European Championship in 2021 was a penalty shootout.
It was difficult to ignore the possibility that the Three Lions had just blown their greatest chance at winning a major tournament after suffering a heartbreaking loss to Italy in the championship match at Wembley Stadium.
Maybe not, though.
Pre-tournament predictions from Opta for Euro 2024 indicate that Gareth Southgate’s team still has a great chance to win this summer.
It is uncommon for England to start a major international tournament as the clear favorite, but that is exactly what the Opta prediction model indicates will happen this time around.
With a 19.9% chance to win the title in Germany, Southgate’s team leads the group of predicted champions.
Although many people will undoubtedly be pleased to hear the news, you’re probably asking how precisely we got there. and it’s a legitimate query.
Opta’s prediction model uses our own team rankings and betting market odds to assess the probability of each match outcome, win, draw, or lose, in order to provide a more comprehensive picture of the eventual tournament winner.