She replaced an 81-year-old incumbent who appeared incapable of fighting Donald Trump and winning another term, and for thousands of party supporters, she was the electoral savior.
Even so, prominent party strategists expressed concern to me that Democrats were overconfident about her chances of winning.Now that election day is approaching and worries are increasing, it appears that their worries were justified.
Harris undoubtedly experienced a spike in support and an immediate and notable improvement in the polls as compared to President Joe Biden, who was trailing considerably behind Trump. Nonetheless, it seems that she was regaining the support of Democrats who had previously expressed concerns about Biden.
In order to succeed, Harris must draw in voters from outside the Democratic base while preserving the shaky alliance that supported Biden’s victory in 2020.
According to the most recent polls, the race has become more close in recent weeks and is now practically tied. Democrats are concerned about Trump’s gains among Black and Latino voters, as well as in the key “blue wall” states of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, which provide Harris with the clearest route to victory.
Poll numbers are within the margin of error, despite the fact that the race is tied in the crucial swing states. To put it another way, they might be mistaken.