The election was supposed to be a rerun of 2020, but President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the race and endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris in July turned the results around.
What will happen next—a second term for Donald Trump or the election of America’s first female president—is the key question at hand.
We’ll be monitoring the polls leading up to election day and observing the impact of major occasions like this Tuesday’s presidential debate on the contest for the presidency.
Who is in charge of national surveys?
Prior to his decision to withdraw from the contest, polls continuously showed former president Trump ahead of Biden. While speculative at the moment, multiple surveys indicated.
However, as she started the campaign trail, the race became more competitive, and she went on to have a little lead over her opponent in the average of national surveys. Below are the most recent national polling averages for both candidates, rounded to the closest whole number.
The trend lines in the poll tracker figure below illustrate the changes in those averages since Harris entered the race, while the dots display the distribution of the individual poll results.
