The election was supposed to be a rerun of 2020, but President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the race and endorsement of Vice President Kamala Harris in July turned the results around.
The key question at hand is whether America will see a second term of Donald Trump or the election of a woman president.
We’ll be monitoring the polls as election day draws near and observing the impact of the campaign on the presidential contest.
Who is in charge of national surveys?
According to the national polling averages, which are displayed in the chart below with the most recent results rounded to the closest whole number, Harris leads Trump.
Prior to his decision to withdraw, polls continuously showed former president Trump ahead of Biden. However, once Harris started her campaign, the race became more competitive, and she went on to hold a slight lead.
Although Harris’s polling average hasn’t changed significantly, the bulk of national polls conducted since then indicate that she has made some little gains. Her advantage grew from 2.5 percentage points on the day of the debate to 2.9 points a week later.
But Trump’s numbers were primarily responsible for that slight increase. Prior to the debate, his average was increasing, but the week following the debate, it decreased by 0.5 percentage points.
