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Reading: “It’s likely overly optimistic to expect a Labour landslide,” says a UK analyst.
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Baner Club > Blog > News > “It’s likely overly optimistic to expect a Labour landslide,” says a UK analyst.
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“It’s likely overly optimistic to expect a Labour landslide,” says a UK analyst.

Polling points to a significant setback for the Conservatives later in the year. According to Professor Tim Bale, predictions are premature.

Last updated: 2024/02/01 at 10:17 AM
Published February 1, 2024
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England’s London In the latter half of 2024, a general election is anticipated in the United Kingdom, and pressure is mounting on Rishi Sunak, the head of the Conservative Party.

The main opposition Labour Party is leading the right-wing party that has ruled Britain for over a decade in the polls.

Labour might win 385 parliamentary seats, according to a YouGov survey conducted earlier this month and published by The Telegraph newspaper with responses from over 14,000 people. With just 169 seats to hold, the Conservatives are expected to lose even more than in 1997, when Labour’s Tony Blair defeated John Major.

Observers speculate that Sunak’s decision to side with the US in opposing the Houthis of Yemen in reprisal for their Red Sea attacks and his reluctance to demand a ceasefire in Gaza may have an impact on his popularity abroad.

Tim Bale, a politics professor at Queen Mary University of London, discussed the impending election, the difficulties facing Sunak, 43, and Labour’s prospects with Al Jazeera.

Tim Bale: I believe it’s safe to say that he’s intelligent. He is a diligent individual. Thus, he is presumably as knowledgeable about all the topics as any prime minister could be.

His issue, in my opinion, is that very few people he speaks with assume he will still be around by this time next year, which means his influence will unavoidably be less than it would be otherwise.

He has the same issue at home, in my opinion, in that whatever he does or suggests as a solution will always be viewed as a stopgap measure rather than as the future course of British policy.

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