Immigration was a top issue that helped President Donald Trump and Republicans secure major victories in 2024. However, recent events and polling suggest the issue may now create challenges for the GOP ahead of the midterms.
Trump’s Immigration Policies Under Scrutiny
The Trump administration faced growing criticism after a controversial deployment of masked federal immigration agents in Minnesota. The operation coincided with the fatal shootings of Renee Nicole Good and Alex Pretti, sparking protests and bipartisan concern.
On Thursday, the administration announced it would wind down the Minnesota operation. Border czar Tom Homan said, “A significant drawdown has already been underway this week, and will continue to the next week.” He added that, as a result, “Minnesota is now less of a sanctuary state for criminals.”
Approval Ratings Show Decline
Polling indicates Trump’s support on immigration has dropped sharply. An AP-NORC poll conducted February 5–8 shows 38% approve of his immigration policies, down from 49% last March. Quinnipiac University found a similar 38% approval, falling from 44% in December.
NBC News Decision Desk reported 40% approval, down from 49% last April. Fox News polling shows the president’s approval on border security at 52%-47%, but immigration specifically at 45%-55%, reflecting a mixed reaction from voters.
While Republican voters remain largely supportive, independents are increasingly siding with Democrats on immigration concerns.
GOP Perspective and Strategy
National Republican Congressional Committee Chair Rep. Richard Hudson of North Carolina told Fox News Digital that immigration remains a key issue. “I think it’s going to be very helpful for us going into the election,” he said. Hudson emphasized that removing dangerous criminals from neighborhoods is a promise Republicans intend to deliver.
Veteran GOP strategist Colin Reed noted that Trump’s border policies were initially a major success, quickly addressing problems that worsened under the Biden administration. However, Reed cautioned that the Minnesota events “were not helpful to the White House or Republican brand,” and praised the decision to reduce tensions.
Democratic Response
The Democratic National Committee criticized the administration’s approach. DNC Chair Ken Martin described the Minnesota operation as “political theater” and accused ICE of creating a “culture of fear” in communities. He stressed that Democrats would continue highlighting these actions while preparing for the midterms.
Hudson countered these claims, calling the narrative from mainstream media “false” and assuring voters that Trump’s immigration policies enhance public safety.
