Record-Breaking Wet Start to 2026
Parts of England and Wales have experienced rain every day this year, marking a record-breaking start to 2026. South-west England and south Wales have seen consistent downpours, while Aboyne in Aberdeenshire has already received more rainfall than its usual February average, just a few days into the month.
Rain Warnings Across the UK
The UK weather forecast predicts continued rain on Thursday and Friday. Yellow warnings are in effect across southern England, the West Midlands, and east Wales until 21:00 on Friday. Most areas could see 20-30mm of rain, with higher ground receiving up to 50mm.
Northern Ireland also faces a yellow warning until 23:59 on Friday. Rainfall could reach 10-20mm in many places, while south-facing hills may see 50mm. The Mourne Mountains and Antrim Hills could experience 60-80mm, and strong winds are expected to make driving hazardous.
A yellow snow warning is in place from 15:00 today until 03:00 on Friday for higher ground in Derbyshire, Cheshire, and northern England. Snowfall of around 5cm is expected, with areas above 500m possibly receiving up to 15cm, potentially affecting the evening commute.
Weekend Outlook
The weekend is expected to be milder, with scattered showers, less wind, and morning fog. However, forecasters do not expect a long dry spell in the coming week. The monthly outlook suggests a colder and drier period may arrive later.
Regional Differences in Rainfall
Scotland shows a notable contrast in rainfall. Aultbea in the west has not recorded any rain since 18 January, while eastern regions, like Aboyne, have already received 63mm, exceeding February’s typical rainfall.
The prevailing south-easterly wind from the North Sea carries extra moisture, increasing rain and cloud cover in eastern areas. Meanwhile, western areas, shielded by the Cairngorm Mountains, experience much drier conditions.
Dull Weather Continues
It has not only been wet but also gloomy. Dyce in Aberdeen has reportedly seen 14 consecutive days without sunshine, potentially the longest dull spell since 1957.
