variation Donald Trump has now received two votes in this contest. And that comes after previously unprecedented events such as the abrupt substitution of a sitting president for a contender.
However, if you check at our most recent poll tracker, which shows US Vice President Kamala Harris leading with only little variations, it appears as calm as an undisturbed puddle.
have And that takes into account a few recent surveys conducted in the wake of the Trump-Harris discussion.
Why so steady? Because a large portion of the voters have already chosen their candidate, because it is an average of a large number of polls, and because polls themselves take a while to respond to events.
However, if you want to see candidates running head-to-head and occasionally slipping behind one another, check out the betting statistics.
Events that cause significant adjustments can be seen nearly instantly, such as the most recent attempted assassination attempt, which seems to indicate a slight decline in the probabilities.
Compare that to the increase he witnessed following the July 13th assassination attempt.
Or consider US President Joe Biden’s chances, which vanished right after his discussion with Mr. Trump.
The Trump-Harris debate last week also appears to have improved Ms. Harris’s chances.
There are certain restrictions on this: as US citizens are not allowed to wager on presidential elections, all of these wagers are from foreign sources.
